Tag Archives: Flow

What Do You Manage as You Adapt to Market Conditions? Four Points

Situation: A company is in the process of adjusting its customer and business focus in response to changing market conditions. Gross margin on projects that have been the company mainstay in the past have fallen significantly. The CEO is evaluating different adjustments to address this. What do you manage as you adapt to market conditions?

Advice from the CEOs:

  • The company’s business model is shifting from a staffing agency to a product development model. This means that the business must be driven by a different set of parameters and metrics:
    • A different time/utilization mix.
    • Different personnel – the company needs managers.
    • Changes to the organizational chart and incentives.
  • How does the company currently charge clients for Project Management?
    • Currently it is time and materials.
    • Consider charging on a percent of project cost basis. For example, 15% of total project cost. The pitch will be that the client will be able to reduce the overall cost of the project – ideally in both dollars and time – and that the company will have increased accountability for delivering these results.
  • How will this impact the company’s cash position? How will the company retain adequate cash flow during the transition?
    • The current cash position is 4 months of projected monthly cash plus receivables.
    • If there is drop to 3 months, flag a yellow caution light.
    • Two months becomes a red light.
    • What is the backstop if the company runs shy – if, for example, some engineers are not very active? In this case, will deferral of unpaid vacation time and other options allow the company to survive without further draining cash? Have a meeting with key managers to evaluate the impact of this option.
  • Consider looking at competitors for possible collaborations. This can be delicate because they may want to steal the company’s personnel and there are other risks, but sometimes promising deals can be arranged.

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How Do You Manage the Company’s Growth? Seven Solutions

Situation: A CEO is contemplating the company’s growth over the next year. One key manager is leaving, an aggressive target has been set for the year, and the company needs to fund this growth from planned cash flow. The biggest question is whether the existing team can handle this growth. How do you manage the company’s growth?

Advice from the CEOs:

  • All managers reach the limit of their abilities sooner or later. It happens on different timetables to different people. The critical question is how well does the team learn along the way?
  • It’s important to recognize first, what you don’t know, and second, to decide how to cover this deficiency.
    • The deficit can be filled through team learning, hiring someone with the need expertise, or bringing in a consultant with the needed skills.
  • If there are too many meetings, are they all necessary? Do they accomplish what needs to be done? Or might they be part of a routine or habit that needs review.
    • Beware the standing meeting.
  • Analyze the company’s infrastructure. Look at strengths and weaknesses of all departments. Determine the resources necessary to fill in the gaps.
  • Look at things that are being done now that perhaps shouldn’t be done.
    • Alternatively, are there things you are not being done that should be done?
    • What risks is the company assuming through current management behavior?
  • Don’t accept problems brought to the CEO for remedy without an alternative of some kind from the individual raising the problem.
    • The CEO can’t do it all; that’s why there’s a management team.
  • Choose with care those issues delegated to a peer or subordinate for solution.
    • Another CEO told of an issue where he delegated a critical project to the wrong person and the job wasn’t done.
    • Confidence must be established for effective delegation.

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How Do You Find the Right Funding Source? Six Solutions

Situation: A company is short of cash and needs a source to fund their cash flow needs. Their needs are mapped out for the next four years and they can fund current operations for a few months. However, their bank will not extend their credit line. How do you find the right funding source?

Advice from the CEOs:

  • Try another bank. Ask friends and contacts about their banks and see if they’ll refer the company to their bank.
  • Explore renegotiating the company’s lease to ease the cash flow needs.
  • Explore renegotiating payment terms with suppliers. See what can be worked out. The bottom line – if the company goes Chapter 7 or 11, they get nothing.
  • Consider going to a larger company and working out an arrangement.
    • Ask that they allow the partners to operate as an “independent” entity retaining their titles.
    • In exchange for funding the company’s cash needs, the larger company shares in the profits.
    • Seek a temporary arrangement to allow the company can get back on its feet financially.
    • Use the friends and reputation that the company has developed over the years. The company is a good outfit and respected. Others may help if asked.
  • A similar tactic is to approach a larger company to negotiate an arrangement that will allow the company to survive. Start with a business plan.
    • Highlight the company’s reputation and the quality of its products. Use references from highly satisfied customers.
    • Highlight the company’s key strength – developing the critical path and plan for a successful project.
    • The thrust of the presentation: the partner gets a quality team and shares in the profits from projects completed. The partner provides the cash to fund the projects. Compare the risk and return on these funds compared with other investment options available to highlight the value of the proposal.
  • Other CEOs shared similar situations that have worked for them.
    • The financial realities were kept secret from staff, customers, and competitors.
    • All unnecessary expenses were cut.
    • The focus was on making money today.
    • Supplier payments were delayed as necessary to manage cash flow.
    • The process was managed creatively, sometimes with the assistance of friends, and the companies were able to prevail.
  • There is no shame in facing and dealing with this problem. Determination will pay off.

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How Are Your Relations with Your Bank? Seven Points

Situation: A CEO’s company is short of cash to make a scheduled payment against a line of credit. They have been notified that if the payment isn’t made, the bank will transfer cash from the company’s checking account to satisfy the payment. This would compromise their ability to meet payroll and pay vendors. How are your relations with your bank?

Advice from the CEOs:

  • What the company needs is time, so that they can pay down the line of credit from cash flow. It is best to compartmentalize any discomfort with this situation. Remember that any bank action generally takes time.
  • Advice from the company’s lawyer is that if they stop making deposits, the bank will notice and react negatively. Given that the current interest rate on the line is low, a negative reaction from the bank could lead to an increase in the rate.
  • The company has a bargaining chip. The bank does not want to show the company’s line as delinquent. If they admit that a delinquency exists, it puts them in a bad place.
  • Develop a contingency plan to guard against the company’s biggest risk – inability to make payroll. Assure that this can be covered.
  • Use checks paid by customers to move a portion of company assets to another bank.
  • Secure a new line of credit with another bank to cover credit needs, including salary coverage if the current bank acts adversely.
  • Assure that any conversations with the bank are documented in letters to the company’s contact at the bank.

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Where Do You Find Sources of Capital or Savings? Seven Suggestions

Situation: A CEO closely watches company cash flow so assure that it is enough to fund the company during both upswings and downturns. The company is doing well, but the CEO is concerned about a near-term potential downturn. Where so you find sources of capital or savings?

Advice from the CEOs:

  • In anticipating future cash flow needs, planning to breakeven may not be enough. Anticipate contingencies and cut enough to be profitable. This is particularly true if a downturn is longer than anticipated.
  • Take a close look at operating capacity.
    • Estimate current capacity based on staff count and average billing rates.
    • Forecast best – worst case scenarios given market trends. Compare each against current capacity and evaluate the gaps. This will help set staffing levels to assure that the company is not overcommitted in case of a downturn.
  • Discount future cash flow for non-payables based on experience. This may indicate the need to cut expenses deeper to assure that the company survives an extended downturn.
    • In a recovery, pull back those who were let go.
  • If there is underutilized time from the team, pitch this to investors to obtain equity financing for new IP.
  • Consider selling a key customer on a royalty model. This can be a small royalty – maybe 1-2% of products sold based on the company’s contribution.  This is pure profit to the company, and provides an annuity revenue stream, even if small.
  • Look at banks which are aggressively expanding in the region. If they are hungry for new clients they will offer attractive rates.
  • Companies are better sources of funding than investors. A good client can become a strategic partner. Do some homework before first before making the call to a key contact.
    • Know the level of financing that is needed.
    • Know where it would be used and what kind of return the company can yield on the investment.

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Does Your Company Have the Right Focus? Three Alternatives

Situation: The CEO of a specialty service company is curious about whether they have the right internal focus to drive their business. Their internal focus statement is to the most competitive, most responsive company in their market with high profit per job. One school of thought calls this focus the Main Thing driving the company. Does your company have the right Main Thing or focus?

Advice from the CEOs:

  • Look at the tie between your Main Thing and your financials.
    • Determine an appropriate measure of efficiency – for example, billable hours per field worker per day.
    • Look at cost per field worker versus efficiency.
    • Ask what will generate the profit to grow to the level that the company has established as the revenue target.
    • If you can boost the gross margin on services, this provides far more benefit than merely cutting expenses.
    • Look for market niches that support higher prices without a parallel rise in either expense or risk exposure.
    • Do leadership and staff have the right skills and talents to support growth objectives? What can be done to enhance skills and talents?
    • Consider the following – By increasing efficiency and margins from 16% to 20% on $10 million of job revenue, the company can increase the operating margin by $400,000. If certain staff cannot work within a more efficient structure, you may want to move them to jobs that are less critical to the business. Having the right staff in the right seats is critically important to bottom line results.
  • Look at the company’s customer selection criteria. Using the 80/20 rule – 20% of customers generate 80% of revenue and/or profits. How do you improve customer selection?
    • Rank all customers on measures of profitability of their business, payment time, and most importantly future business potential. Focus on customers with the highest scores, and “fire” low scoring customers.
  • Focus on cash flow: Look at early pay options or discounts to speed payment from large customers.
    • Incorporate a schedule of values in all contracts as an addendum to prompt earlier payment.
    • In proposals, include a payment schedule and finance the receivables through a factoring company – particularly in the case of slower paying or less desirable customers.

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How Do You Decide Between Strategic Options? Five Thoughts

Situation: A CEO is faced with three strategic options that the company could pursue. He seeks guidance on how the company should evaluate the three options. What signs should they be watching for in their marketplace? Are there steps that they should take while completing their evaluation? How do you decide between strategic options?

Advice from the CEOs:

  • Go with what sells! Listen to the market, and your key customers. Make sure that you have ears out there that will give you early signals.
  • Until there is a clear indication from the market place as to which is the stronger strategy, keep your options open. A hybrid strategy – maintaining your current strategy while evaluating the strongest strategic option – will allow you to do this and continue to drive revenue from your existing base while the market determines dominance among the new platforms.
  • Look at the cash flow from your current strategy and each of the new options that you are considering.
    • What difference is there in upfront payments versus ongoing residuals?
    • Look closely at your cash flow needs compared to the timing of receipts from each option.
    • Are there ways that you can strengthen your cash flow depending upon which strategy you select? How will you bridge the gap between current and future cash flows from each strategic option?
  • Consider hiring a full-time manager in business development.
    • This will help you to learn more about your customers and what they will buy.
    • Select someone who has relationships with the key people in your target markets, and who knows what the insiders are doing at important existing or target customers.
    • Select someone who can give you access to new opportunities and help steer your strategic development.
  • Consider a long-term strategic partnership with a leader in your market.

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How Do You Finance Growth? Three Options

Situation: A mid-sized company faces challenges financing their growth. Investment of time, energy and resources precedes the reward of future revenue. It can be difficult to balance the cash needs of current operations with new growth opportunities. How do you finance growth?

Advice from the CEOs:

  • Have you analyzed growth opportunities and evaluated which could increase your cash flow? For example, if you increase manufacturing efficiency, can the savings help to finance growth?
  • If you produce parts or products for start-ups, can you structure the relationship so that if the start-up become successful and is subsequently purchased by a larger company there is a bonus payoff for the work that you’ve done?
    • Analyze – by project, not company – the jobs you’ve done that have eventually become large volume opportunities. Try segmenting your analysis based on the source of the original project: jobs for start-ups, mid-sized and large companies. This may provide insight on where to focus future efforts.
  • Another company performs clinical services for both big pharmaceutical companies and start-ups. To take advantage of the upside from working with start-ups they take payment both in cash and in stock.
    • One option is to set up a separate Investment LLC – not tied to the operating company but owned by the same people – that takes the stock position and can, at its option, provide limited venture funding to start-ups.
    • Start-ups are not yet threats to your large customers but are potential future acquisition targets. Because the stock financing is done outside of the operating company, it is more difficult to trace back to the operating company. Further, competing large companies have not tended to see these investments as threatening the way that they would view direct investment by the company in a competitor. At the time of acquisition by the larger company, the member’s ownership position in the start-up is liquidated.

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What are Your Key Business Metrics? Seven Suggestions

Situation: A CEO has been analyzing the metrics that she uses to track her company’s performance. Historically she has used common metrics like sales, gross and net margin, profit and net operating income, budget plan vs. actual expenses, and sales forecast vs. actual sales. She is curious what other companies use to track performance. What are your key business metrics?

Advice from the CEOs:

  • The most important financial metric for many companies is actually cash flow – how much cash you have on hand and your cash flow forecast. Two metrics that can help you to better understand and boost cash flow are:
    • Receivables – aging rate
    • DSO – Days Sales Outstanding
  • Additional financial metrics include:
    • Portfolio performance
    • Variable versus fixed cost ratios
  • To augment understanding of profitability, track “good” profit – revenue from customers who are profitable, as opposed to revenue that is either break-even or unprofitable.
  • Sales metrics to measure future revenue include:
    • Order backlog – by month for X months out
    • From this, forecast beyond visible orders
  • Marketing metrics include:
    • Net promoter score – would the customer refer us to a friend or family member?
    • Client and referral client retention rate
  • Metrics for utilization of resources for a service provider include:
    • Total hours paid versus total hours billed
    • Resource utilization
  • Business trend tracking. If business is seasonal, look for historic peak to peak times – this may be 3 months and may be 18 months. Determine this and make the rolling cycle equivalent to your business cycle.
  • Review your metrics regularly to reinforce their importance across the company

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What Will You Do Differently in 2015? Six Observations

As we begin 2015 more people are feeling upbeat about the economy than they have through most of the last six years. The dollar is at new highs against global currencies. The US is approaching energy self-sufficiency. However, some still see regulatory headwinds and downsides. What do you see and what will you do differently in 2015?

Advice from the CEOs:

  • Over the last six years, software companies have seen large increases in outstanding credit to clients, combined with restrictions on clients’ credit lines available and fewer new purchases. We hope for a better year in 2015, and will focus on reducing outstanding credit to improve cash flow.
  • Cash continues to be king. B2B business sectors with good cash positions are solid.
    • If your product/service saves clients money and makes financial sense, you’re in good shape.
    • Raising money will continue to be a challenge. Investors have been focusing on accelerating deliverables, creating a difficult environment for entrepreneurs. The Wall Street Journal says that the share of people under 30 who own businesses has reached a 24-year low, referring to young entrepreneurs as an endangered species,.
  • What is your current planning horizon?
    • We continue to plan quarter to quarter. There are too many variables for a longer horizon. We pay up our credit lines, and cover multiple payrolls with safe bank deposits.
    • We are watching headcount and dollars in the bank.
    • We are communicating more with our best employees and bringing them into more decisions so that they won’t be looking elsewhere.

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