Tag Archives: Peak

How Do You Make Time to Plan? Four Points

Situation: A CEO is up all night worrying that things are “too good”. Business has turned around positively in the last six months and she so focused on sales that she hasn’t had time to plan. How and when do you plan for growth? More basically, how do you make time to plan?
Advice from the CEOs:
• Think about the business cycle – the upswing, the peak and the downturn. On the upswing there is a tendency to be so focused on the day-to-day that there’s no time to spend testing the business environment or on long-term planning activities that are critical to sustained growth and success. If the CEO doesn’t take time during the upswing to evaluate new opportunities it’s easy to fall into the trap where planning occurs too late – after the cycle has peaked.
• After the business cycle has peaked, it is too late to take advantage of opportunities that were available during the upswing. Once the business cycle is in a downturn attention shifts to preservation and survival. The opportunity to reallocate resources to build alternative future scenarios has been lost.
• If there is pressure to bring on additional resources to handle the workload, set a timeframe to evaluate the situation – a few weeks or a month – and see if the pressure is sustained. If it is, have a plan in place to secure those resources. Do this with a clear head – not on impulse. Exercise discipline.
• Remember that leadership is the CEO’s job – not being immersed in the day-to-day. A leader keeps others immersed in and focused on the day-to-day.

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What Leading Sales Indicators Are Effective? Four Suggestions

Situation: A company has experienced low sales early in its peak season due to bad weather. The CEO wants to develop additional leading indicators that will help predict whether sales will recover prior to the end of the peak season. What leading indicators have you found effective in predicting seasonal sales?

Advice from the CEOs:

  • Access to benchmarked research can be helpful, especially industry reports that cite growth indicators. Some industry report producers can generate drill-down reports of their base data for a fee. This allows you to tailor your own study based on their data.
  • Depending upon whether you set revenue projections by brand or product line, look for indicators within brands or lines that will provide you with clarity on sales projections. An example is product reviews in relevant newsletters, provided that these have effectively benchmarked to sales results in the past.
  • In addition to new leading indicators for existing products, there are a number of ways that you can reduce the impact of seasonality on your cash flow. These include: investments that will lead to future income streams; new product placements to compliment or extend current lines; new key customers or outlets through which you can expand your market; and increasing sales calls to create new demand. Also, use the current season to establish additional benchmarks that will be useful in future years.
  • Other tactics include evaluating in-house versus contract production of your products to improve your margins, and strategies to improve up-sales from medium to premium products where margins are better. You can also focus on smaller independent outlets rather than national chains which are dominated by national brands, and also regional explore private label opportunities.

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